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Indeed, opportunity of black butterfly win already very uncertain.
In neurasthenia this in-game, the superiority in memory ability is the most direct-viewing superiority, this point...... The black butterfly is unable to place on a par with Feng Bujue.
However, can control the victory and defeat factor, that is...... Luck.
that round, although Feng Bujue took 24 points boldly, just like but he said that in it „remembers absolutely” in foundation, such took the minute not to calculate that from the probability study too exaggerated.
Except that must the nines particularly, the remaining scores can regard as „in the turning signs that six probabilities reduce gradually, five times have succeeded” case, but „probability that this gradually cuts”, from about 20% has probably fallen to 7%, afterward terminates.
This way, he at the matter that in this round does...... Should be able to sum up to „luck is good” the category.
This not anything special place, therefore this is not „gambling”, is only „game”, by Jue Bro is thought is „senseless” game.
Moreover, when these round ended, his seems like „good” luck, in fact transformed the wind direction......
Sign that because Feng Bujue final three turning out, is „had a variety had been revealed” the sign completely \; In other words, when his Jiang Fan power changes hands finally, on tabletop „known two sign” quantity, increased to six pairs from three pairs.
In addition unknown sign on table drops...... When the opposite party again turns unknown sign now, turned to be possible the probability of score sign to promote once again over 15%.
............
The 11 th round, the black butterfly turns the round of sign.
After Jue Bro has cleaned up the tabletop, the remaining known sign quantities were not already many, therefore the varieties of black butterfly to these signs also had confidence.
Is firsthand, she according to oneself rhythm, has still opened open/stretch new in distance known sign near position.
Finally, this was one „two already clear(ly)” the sign, namely „may score sign”.
The black butterfly may not have Feng Bujue that type „to remember obviously, but I can keep slow point is using again” the ample force, she will definitely have the open goal to take the minute.
Therefore, she turns head to look for new Fan immediately other two...... And succeeded.
„This woman three points.” Announcement of referee also instantly transmits, „you can continue to turn the sign.”
Next, situation still......
The black butterfly turned out one to be possible the score sign, she also rapidly its transformation for score.
Again next, is so......
Then, the black butterfly calm has tied the score, and...... As a result of the reduction of card sign quantity, similarly is in the known sign, only then in three pairs of situations, she turns in next to may the probability of score sign be higher than 7%.
„...... What kind of?” At this time, the black butterfly said to Jue Bro with a smile, „I didn't have the opportunity completely?”
„Snort...... The disparity on this luck, before the showdown starts I had the psychology to prepare.” Feng Bujue should say indifferently, „in brief...... Before achieving ‚that score’, is casual you to turn many to be good.”
„That score?” Black butterfly hears word, has thought for two seconds, meets saying that „Oh~ you said...... 33 points?”
The black butterfly before the showdown starts without doubt carefully has also studied the game rule, therefore she knows 33 points, is a very essential score.
According to rule, after both sides total reveal „25”, the player then can through turning out two „extremely happy Pure Land” ended the competition, is in the settlement stage.
Then, puts aside that disparity disparate victory and defeat not to discuss, using both sides have certain score match as an example...... 25 can analyze is 12 pairs 13, or 11 pairs of 14 situations.
In 12 pairs of 13 situations, the score ratio is 36 : 39, at this time, falls the rear area to turn out extremely happy Pure Land, in addition the extra 10 points, 46 : 39, then turn defeat into victory.
In 11 pairs of 14 situations, the score ratio is 33 : 42, at this time, falls the rear area to turn out extremely happy Pure Land, in addition the extra 10 points, 43 : 42, turn defeat into victory similarly.
In other words, in this in-game, fell a leeward side, to making a comeback, the preconditions, that at least must attain „11”, this satisfies the threshold the making a comeback condition.
But theoretically the most ideal situation is: On the tabletop already reveals 24 the round, is one's turn that side of backwardness to turn the sign, in it turns out 25 th instance, the skilled person grasps 33 points, then...... He / she turns out „extremely happy Pure Land” again, finished our bureau.
Regarding falling rear area, this is the quickest best making a comeback pattern. If continues to tow...... Perhaps the disparity of score gradually will be pulled open, when works as on the tabletop the surplus unknown signs already are not many, turns to may the probability of score sign considerably increase, turned to two continuously „one clear(ly)” the sign probability was is not impossible, at that time, the memory was stronger and made mistakes a less side, the score rate affirmation constant voltage match plans.
„Since you know.” The Feng Bujue's tone appears very relaxed, the match knows this digital the meaning also should be in any case, does not need to exclaim in surprise, „that please toward this direction diligently.”
„...... Did not need you saying that I can also.” After black butterfly accordingly , to continue to turn the sign......
............
To 11 th round finished, both sides' score contrast is 24 : 30, the black butterfly is in the lead.
After that dialogue, the black butterfly turned out two to be possible the score sign, the sign two in known sign consumed only to remain one pair.
Then, in final three turn in the sign...... She linked unexpectedly has been turning out two „zero sign”, namely a known variety no sign, and...... Also has turned out second „extremely happy Pure Land”.
Therefore, when these round ended, on the tabletop the known pair only remains two pairs, and...... Two „extremely happy Pure Land” the position has been also clear.
At present, two people must be divided into 54 points, namely has revealed „18”, in the floor the remaining sign numbers are 48 \; And, known sign 20, by 2 without a gap hells, 2 extremely happy Pure Land and 4 „two all clear(ly)”, as well as 12 „one clear(ly)” the sign composes.
But unknown sign 28, namely 2 without a gap hells and 26 sign.
In other words, when 12 th round starts, Feng Bujue can in the unknown sign turn to may the probability of score sign be 2/28, in that turns the probability in the previous round being defeated to be basic with him, only has about 7%......
Sees here, definitely some people will say, he does have no alternative but to turn the unknown sign? Turns three known signs, will then the same aspect lose to the opposite party not on the line?
Answer yes, but...... Does not solve the problem.
According to 【Tertiary neurasthenia】 „Turns sign rule”, the player in the continual three rounds, at least must turn out an unknown sign, otherwise must punish five points.
This regular intention, must prevent the player through to turn has presented the sign to consume own turning sign opportunity unceasingly before this. Why as for is „consecutively for three rounds”, that naturally is considered that some people because of remembering incorrectly the sign will cause „to turn three known signs, and has not scored points” condition \; Under this situation, consecutively for the people of two rounds attack fails, to third time must take on the risk that on penalties......
In light of the present example, if Feng Bujue chooses to turn three known signs to consume own turning sign power when this round, that is one's turn the black butterfly, the opposite party can also follow a set pattern...... In any case the black butterfly is It does not matter, as the memory ability compared with a Fairly Weak side, she is happy to see that very much both sides turn out the old card to help her consolidated memory unceasingly.
Also, after she was „, attacked” a side, in no one is willing to turn out the new card under the aspect, latter attacking at least has occupied „a sign” superiority, because attacking will expose first open/stretch new compared with the opposite party surely.
Naturally, Feng Bujue is not that type will turn the person who the known sign defends intentionally.
The genuine gambler and villains understand...... That procedure could not win.
For example Jue Bro is guessing that game that the digital in-game pit the broad face has worried...... At that time what if he considered was „what to do I only guesses three to four digit”, or „the opposite party dies to support really seventh round what to do”, he will draw back and evade...... Finally, will lose.
Bets the devil on table not to respond to weak one's demand, conversely, they will swallow these people......
Makes concessions and avoid, gives up pondering, then in the innermost feelings pray and entreaty, these behaviors will only bring in the failure and destruction.
The person who can win, must, in that time believes firmly that „I can certainly guess correctly above 5 digit”, cannot guess correctly to die, but dies...... Also might as well.
Only then such will, can guide „to transport potential”, calls „victory”.
............
„...... Sure enough......”
The 12 th round, is firsthand, unknown sign that Feng Bujue opens...... Was one „one clear(ly)”.
At this moment, he has two choices: The first type, is the quite safe procedure gives up continuing the renovation sign, turns head to turn two known signs, finished oneself this round. Thus, only gave the opposite party to increase a pair of known pair, and reduced an unknown sign. When to black butterfly attack, first turns to may the probability of score sign be 3/27, about 11% probabilities.
But the procedure of another comparison risk again turns an unknown sign, the sign that if this second-hand turns is the same with the firsthand variety, he can score points.
Then...... Is the success ratio of doing this how many? What is the failure risk?
Can figure out through the known sign, 27 unknown signs at this moment, 22 are the pairs, namely „one already clear(ly)” the sign, 3 were „two already clear(ly)” the sign, 2 were the hell signs.
Feng Bujue wants to score points, must turn out this round first turning out „heel Guangping”, but its probability only has about 3% \; Words that if cannot turn, he is facing three possibilities......
First, he had 81% probabilities to turn to „one already clear(ly)”, gave the opposite party to collect a pair of known pair again, when causes the opposite party next time turned the sign to turn to may the probability of score sign rise to over 15%.
Second, he had 7% probabilities to turn to another two „two already clear(ly)”, making the opposite party obtain 100% scores in the next round directly the opportunity.
Third, similarly is 7% probabilities, he will turn to the hell sign, but this...... Is the best result, such opposite party pulls out to may the probability of score sign rise to 11.5%, rises are not many.
In summary, how regardless to see, here chooses the safe means to be quite good.
But......
„According to the words of this trend, I turns one again, 80% will be......” Feng Bujue will talk over, while has opened the second unknown sign.
Finally, he turned one „two already clear(ly)”.
Because his these round turned two signs, and variety is different, therefore is impossible to score points. Therefore, that he turns out, basic has been able to determine that became the score of opposite party.
„Un...... It looks like, transports the potential completely that side you.” Feng Bujue sees this worst result, is actually the appearance of not caring at all, „thinks that the next round you will also obtain over 6 points.”
Saying, him has not been waiting for the opposite party to respond, then has turned out the third sign.
Made one think what was inconceivable was...... He turned an unknown sign unexpectedly \; This time, what turns out was „one clear(ly)”, therefore, on the tabletop published a pair of bright pair.
„Actually this fellow wants why......” black butterfly unable to understand, she ponders to say in the heart secretly, „second-hand I can also understand...... Like this type as arrogant as narcissistic man, indeed may harbor leaving things to chance to wrestle in this time \; But this third...... In is impossible to score points, and almost surely to me under more superior premises, does he also turn the unknown sign?”
„Please......” next second, the Feng Bujue's speaking voice have interrupted the train of thought of black butterfly, „I know that you are thinking anything...... Hehe...... Does not use, for that you think that not the clear matter hesitates. You before the memory is fuzzy, the score that should take takes. If you come a fault here...... I won also am too rather relaxed.”
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